Portugal 2–1 Croatia
Portugal vs Croatia 
R32 · Round of 32 · 2026-07-02 · Toronto
2–1final score
1–0we predicted ✓
📐 model analysislocked
Portugal deliver as predicted
Portugal beat Croatia 2–1 in Round of 32. Scorers: Cristiano Ronaldo (68'), Gonçalo Ramos (90+4'); Ivan Perisic (53').
Our model backed Portugal at 52% and predicted 1–0 — the right call on the result.
Tournament so far — Portugal: just 8 pts from 4, roughly 1 below the 9 expected. Croatia: 6 pts from 4, right in line with the 6.5 expected.
Portugal
▼ under-performing
just 8 pts from 4, roughly 1 below the 9 expected.
Croatia
· as expected
6 pts from 4, right in line with the 6.5 expected.
Confidence factors
📈Portugal +84 Elo
⚽Expected goals 1.5 – 0.9
🔥Form DWD vs LWW
⏱️Balanced tempo (2.5 xG)