Colombia vs Croatia prediction
Colombia vs Croatia 
R32 · Round of 32 · 2026-07-02 · Toronto
0–1predicted score
38%Croatia to advance
📐 model analysisprojected
Too close to call: Colombia v Croatia
Projected Round of 32 tie — if the bracket holds and these two meet, our model makes Croatia 38% to advance, projecting a 0–1 scoreline (expected goals 1.2–1.2).
The edge comes from croatia +12 elo and expected goals 1.2 – 1.2.
Form check: Colombia have been matching expectations (3 pts from 1, right in line with the 2.4 expected.); Croatia have been matching expectations (0 pts from 1, right in line with the 0.8 expected.).
Colombia
· as expected
3 pts from 1, right in line with the 2.4 expected.
Croatia
· as expected
0 pts from 1, right in line with the 0.8 expected.
Confidence factors
📈Croatia +12 Elo
⚽Expected goals 1.2 – 1.2
🔥Form WWL vs LWW
⏱️Balanced tempo (2.4 xG)