Spain vs Austria prediction
Spain vs Austria 
R32 · Round of 32 · 2026-07-02 · Los Angeles (Inglewood)
2–0predicted score
79%Spain to advance
📐 model analysisprojected
Spain strongly fancied
Projected Round of 32 tie — if the bracket holds and these two meet, our model makes Spain 79% to advance, projecting a 2–0 scoreline (expected goals 2.5–0.6).
The edge comes from spain +240 elo and expected goals 2.5 – 0.6.
Form check: Spain have been under-performing expectations (just 1 pts from 1, roughly 1.8 below the 2.8 expected.); Austria have been matching expectations (3 pts from 1, right in line with the 2.1 expected.).
Spain
▼ under-performing
just 1 pts from 1, roughly 1.8 below the 2.8 expected.
Austria
· as expected
3 pts from 1, right in line with the 2.1 expected.
Confidence factors
📈Spain +240 Elo
⚽Expected goals 2.5 – 0.6
🔥Form DWW vs WLW
⏱️High-scoring lean (3.1 xG)