Belgium 2–2 Senegal
Belgium vs Senegal 
R32 · Round of 32 · 2026-07-01 · Seattle
2–2final score
1–0we predicted ✓
📐 model analysislocked
Honours even in Round of 32
Belgium and Senegal drew 2–2 in Round of 32. Scorers: Romelu Lukaku (86'), Youri Tielemans (89'), Youri Tielemans (120+5'); Habib Diarra (25'), Ismaïla Sarr (51').
Our model leaned Belgium (57%) with a 1–0 projection, so this one went against us.
Tournament so far — Belgium: just 6 pts from 4, roughly 3.2 below the 9.2 expected. Senegal: 4 pts from 4, right in line with the 4.7 expected.
Belgium
▼ under-performing
just 6 pts from 4, roughly 3.2 below the 9.2 expected.
Senegal
· as expected
4 pts from 4, right in line with the 4.7 expected.
Confidence factors
📈Belgium +115 Elo
⚽Expected goals 1.7 – 0.8
🔥Form DDW vs LLW
⏱️Balanced tempo (2.5 xG)