England vs DR Congo prediction
England vs DR Congo 
R32 · Round of 32 · 2026-07-01 · Atlanta
3–0predicted score
89%England to advance
📐 model analysisprojected
England strongly fancied
Projected Round of 32 tie — if the bracket holds and these two meet, our model makes England 89% to advance, projecting a 3–0 scoreline (expected goals 3.3–0.4).
The edge comes from england +334 elo and expected goals 3.3 – 0.4.
Form check: England have been over-performing expectations (3 pts from 1 — about 1.1 above the 1.9 our model expected.); DR Congo have been matching expectations (1 pts from 1, right in line with the 0.2 expected.).
England
▲ over-performing
3 pts from 1 — about 1.1 above the 1.9 our model expected.
DR Congo
· as expected
1 pts from 1, right in line with the 0.2 expected.
Confidence factors
📈England +334 Elo
⚽Expected goals 3.3 – 0.4
🔥Form WWW vs DLW
⏱️High-scoring lean (3.7 xG)