Belgium vs Algeria prediction
Belgium vs Algeria 
R32 · Round of 32 · 2026-07-01 · Seattle
2–0predicted score
76%Belgium to advance
📐 model analysisprojected
Belgium strongly fancied
Projected Round of 32 tie — if the bracket holds and these two meet, our model makes Belgium 76% to advance, projecting a 2–0 scoreline (expected goals 2.3–0.6).
The edge comes from belgium +220 elo and expected goals 2.3 – 0.6.
Form check: Belgium have been under-performing expectations (just 1 pts from 1, roughly 1.3 below the 2.3 expected.); Algeria have been matching expectations (0 pts from 1, right in line with the 0.1 expected.).
Belgium
▼ under-performing
just 1 pts from 1, roughly 1.3 below the 2.3 expected.
Algeria
· as expected
0 pts from 1, right in line with the 0.1 expected.
Confidence factors
📈Belgium +220 Elo
⚽Expected goals 2.3 – 0.6
🔥Form DWW vs LWL
⏱️High-scoring lean (2.9 xG)