Mexico 2–0 Ecuador
Mexico vs Ecuador 
R32 · Round of 32 · 2026-06-30 · Mexico City
2–0final score
1–0we predicted ✓
📐 model analysislocked
Mexico deliver as predicted
Mexico beat Ecuador 2–0 in Round of 32. Scorers: Julián Quiñones (31'), Raúl Jiménez (45+1').
Our model backed Mexico at 47% and predicted 1–0 — the right call on the result.
Tournament so far — Mexico: 12 pts from 4 — about 3.9 above the 8.1 our model expected. Ecuador: just 4 pts from 4, roughly 1.2 below the 5.2 expected.
Mexico
▲ over-performing
12 pts from 4 — about 3.9 above the 8.1 our model expected.
Ecuador
▼ under-performing
just 4 pts from 4, roughly 1.2 below the 5.2 expected.
Confidence factors
📈Mexico +59 Elo
⚽Expected goals 1.4 – 1.0
🔥Form WWW vs LDW
⏱️Balanced tempo (2.4 xG)