France 3–0 Sweden
France vs Sweden 
R32 · Round of 32 · 2026-06-30 · New York/New Jersey (East Rutherford)
3–0final score
3–0we predicted ✓
📐 model analysislocked
Called to the goal: France 3–0 Sweden
France beat Sweden 3–0 in Round of 32. Scorers: Kylian Mbappé (45'), Bradley Barcola (53'), Kylian Mbappé (74').
Our model backed France at 88% and predicted 3–0 — an exact-score hit.
Tournament so far — France: 12 pts from 4 — about 1.4 above the 10.6 our model expected. Sweden: 4 pts from 4, right in line with the 3.3 expected.
France
▲ over-performing
12 pts from 4 — about 1.4 above the 10.6 our model expected.
Sweden
· as expected
4 pts from 4, right in line with the 3.3 expected.
Confidence factors
📈France +316 Elo
⚽Expected goals 3.1 – 0.5
🔥Form WWW vs WLD
⏱️High-scoring lean (3.6 xG)