Ivory Coast vs Norway prediction

Ivory Coast flag Ivory Coast vs Norway Norway flag
R32 · Round of 32 · 2026-06-30 · Dallas (Arlington)
0–1predicted score
45%Norway to advance
📐 model analysisprojected

Too close to call: Ivory Coast v Norway

Projected Round of 32 tie — if the bracket holds and these two meet, our model makes Norway 45% to advance, projecting a 0–1 scoreline (expected goals 1–1.4).

The edge comes from norway +49 elo and expected goals 1.0 – 1.4.

Form check: Ivory Coast have been over-performing expectations (3 pts from 2 — about 1.3 above the 1.7 our model expected.); Norway have been matching expectations (3 pts from 1, right in line with the 2.2 expected.).

Ivory Coast flag Ivory Coast ▲ over-performing 3 pts from 2 — about 1.3 above the 1.7 our model expected.
Norway flag Norway · as expected 3 pts from 1, right in line with the 2.2 expected.

Confidence factors

Norway +49 Elo Expected goals 1.0 – 1.4 Form WLW vs WWL Balanced tempo (2.4 xG)
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