Netherlands 1–1 Morocco
Netherlands vs Morocco 
R32 · Round of 32 · 2026-06-29 · Monterrey (Guadalupe)
1–1final score
1–0we predicted ✗
📐 model analysislocked
Honours even in Round of 32
Netherlands and Morocco drew 1–1 in Round of 32. Scorers: Cody Gakpo (72'); Issa Diop (90+1').
Our model leaned Netherlands (56%) with a 1–0 projection, so this one went against us.
Tournament so far — Netherlands: just 8 pts from 4, roughly 1.1 below the 9.1 expected. Morocco: 8 pts from 4 — about 1.8 above the 6.2 our model expected.
Netherlands
▼ under-performing
just 8 pts from 4, roughly 1.1 below the 9.1 expected.
Morocco
▲ over-performing
8 pts from 4 — about 1.8 above the 6.2 our model expected.
Confidence factors
📈Netherlands +108 Elo
⚽Expected goals 1.7 – 0.9
🔥Form DWW vs DWW
⏱️Balanced tempo (2.5 xG)