Germany 1–1 Paraguay
Germany vs Paraguay 
R32 · Round of 32 · 2026-06-29 · Boston (Foxborough)
1–1final score
2–0we predicted ✗
📐 model analysislocked
Honours even in Round of 32
Germany and Paraguay drew 1–1 in Round of 32. Scorers: Kai Havertz (54'); Julio Enciso (42').
Our model leaned Germany (76%) with a 2–0 projection, so this one went against us.
Tournament so far — Germany: just 7 pts from 4, roughly 3 below the 10 expected. Paraguay: 5 pts from 4 — about 1.5 above the 3.5 our model expected.
Germany
▼ under-performing
just 7 pts from 4, roughly 3 below the 10 expected.
Paraguay
▲ over-performing
5 pts from 4 — about 1.5 above the 3.5 our model expected.
Confidence factors
📈Germany +223 Elo
⚽Expected goals 2.3 – 0.6
🔥Form WWL vs LWD
⏱️High-scoring lean (3.0 xG)