Brazil 2–1 Japan
Brazil vs Japan 
R32 · Round of 32 · 2026-06-29 · Houston
2–1final score
1–0we predicted ✓
📐 model analysislocked
Brazil deliver as predicted
Brazil beat Japan 2–1 in Round of 32. Scorers: Casemiro (56'), Gabriel Martinelli (90+5'); Kaishu Sano (29').
Our model backed Brazil at 67% and predicted 1–0 — the right call on the result.
Tournament so far — Brazil: 10 pts from 4, right in line with the 9.8 expected. Japan: 5 pts from 4, right in line with the 5.3 expected.
Brazil
· as expected
10 pts from 4, right in line with the 9.8 expected.
Japan
· as expected
5 pts from 4, right in line with the 5.3 expected.
Confidence factors
📈Brazil +169 Elo
⚽Expected goals 2.0 – 0.7
🔥Form DWW vs DWD
⏱️Balanced tempo (2.7 xG)