South Korea vs Canada prediction

Projected Round of 32 tie — if the bracket holds and these two meet, our model makes South Korea 43% to advance, projecting a 1–0 scoreline (expected goals 1.3–1.1).

The edge comes from south korea +38 elo and expected goals 1.3 – 1.1.

Form check: South Korea have been over-performing expectations (3 pts from 2 — about 1 above the 2 our model expected.); Canada have been matching expectations (4 pts from 2, right in line with the 3.8 expected.).