Algeria 3–3 Austria
Algeria vs Austria 
Group J · Matchday 17 · 2026-06-27 · Kansas City
3–3final score
0–1we predicted ✗
📐 model analysislocked
Honours even in Group J
Algeria and Austria drew 3–3 in Group J. Scorers: Rafik Belghali (45'), Riyad Mahrez (60'), Riyad Mahrez (90+3'); Marko Arnautovic (28'), Marcel Sabitzer (55'), Sasa Kalajdzic (90+6').
Our model leaned Austria (50%) with a 0–1 projection, so this one went against us.
Tournament so far — Algeria: 4 pts from 3, right in line with the 3.1 expected. Austria: 4 pts from 3, right in line with the 4.1 expected.
Algeria
· as expected
4 pts from 3, right in line with the 3.1 expected.
Austria
· as expected
4 pts from 3, right in line with the 4.1 expected.
Confidence factors
📈Austria +75 Elo
⚽Expected goals 1.0 – 1.5
🔥Form L vs W
⏱️Balanced tempo (2.5 xG)